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Black Friday travel demand isn’t one-size-fits-all

What Expedia Group’s first-party insights reveal about timing and trip planning — and the opportunity for travel businesses.

author
Richard Kocher


Does Black Friday create one global travel peak? No.

 

For travelers, Black Friday is a shared cultural moment. But travel demand does not move in the same way or on the same day in every market. Expedia Group’s first-party insights show that the strongest response can arrive at different points in the Black Friday period depending on where travelers are searching and booking.

 

No doubt a global sale creates a global opportunity for hotels, airlines, activity providers, and other travel businesses — as well as the brands that want to reach travelers while they plan. But not every market follows one fixed calendar. That means understanding when travelers in each market are most likely to book, and being ready with the right offer, content, and availability.



One sale can create several demand windows 


Across major markets, the peak of travel demand falls on different days. Germany reaches its strongest point around Black Friday itself. The UK peaks later, around Cyber Monday. Canada and Australia see their strongest response after Black Friday, while US demand builds after Black Friday and peaks on Travel Tuesday.¹ 

This is not a contradiction. It is a planning signal.

 

The same sale can behave differently depending on local shopping habits, the timing of the holiday calendar, and how travelers plan trips in each market. A business using one global activation date may still reach travelers effectively, but a business that combines global reach with local timing has more opportunity to stay relevant throughout the full demand window.


20%

search lift for Travel Tuesday globally

30%

booking lift on Black Friday in
non-US markets²

30%

booking lift on Travel Tuesday for US market


This is one reason travel demand needs to be understood in context. A retail calendar can tell us when a sale starts, but only first-party travel data can show how travelers respond around it. 



An early planning moment, not just a discount moment 


Black Friday is often described as a last-minute opportunity: a short period when travelers search for the lowest available price and make an immediate decision. The data suggests a broader picture.

 

In most major markets, the share of bookings made well in advance increases during the Black Friday period. During Black Friday week, the share of bookings made 91+ days before travel rises significantly across most major markets. This trend is particularly strong in EMEA, where the share of bookings in Norway increases by +10 percentage points (pp), and Germany, Denmark, Sweden and the UK all increase by +6pp. Canada and the US are also strong with increases of +7pp and +3pp respectively.


That points to travelers using the sale as a moment to commit to future travel, not simply to make a last-minute purchase. For travel businesses, the implication is important: the value of participating can extend beyond immediate conversion. It can help capture demand from travelers who are already planning ahead.

 

The same early commitment matters beyond travel. Travelers who book early are primed to spend on everything around the trip, from luggage and insurance to dining and experiences. With more travelers on site during the sale, they’re also shopping for other products and services. For non-travel brands, that opens up a key window: being in the consideration set during the post-booking period matters, and Expedia Group audiences are one way to reach them.



Black Friday bookings also point to longer trips


The data also suggests that the period is associated with longer trips in many markets, while average nightly rates remain broadly stable. In other words, the opportunity is not only about discount depth. It can also be about helping travelers turn intent into a more complete trip.

 

That creates room for travel businesses to think beyond a single rate or offer. Availability, content, merchandising, package relevance, and destination visibility can all influence whether a traveler moves from inspiration to booking. 

Note: Trip length change compares pre-sale to Black Friday week, based on lodging data only.



How to take advantage of Black Friday travel bookings


1. Join the Black Friday sale, then build around it


The Black Friday period can provide a broad platform for reaching travelers worldwide. Expedia Group’s Black Friday sale gives travel businesses a way to be part of that moment, to get their offerings in front of travelers while they plan. In 2025, participating properties saw room nights increase by 53% on average.³

 

Regional sale moments can add local relevance to that global reach, and the two efforts do not have to compete. Each moment can reach different types of travelers, so taking part in several can extend reach further than choosing one.


2. Plan by market, not just by headline date


The Black Friday opportunity should be treated as a global anchor with local variations around it. Travel businesses can use market-level signals to understand when to emphasize awareness, when to highlight availability, and when to create urgency. A coordinated calendar can help show where moments overlap, where they serve different audiences, and where a market-specific message adds value. 

That does not mean building a separate strategy for every country. It means recognizing that a single global message can be made more effective when its timing and emphasis reflect local behavior. 



Choose the sales that fit the plan


Each sale type helps broaden reach and booking potential.

 

View available sales

Global sales

The broadest-reaching sale campaigns, backed by extensive marketing investment to help properties capture peak demand.

Regional sales

Regional sales pair market-specific promotion with locally relevant retail moments to reach travelers actively shopping in key markets. 

Flash sales

Flash sales use concentrated promotion and short booking windows to create urgency and help fill near-term gaps with last-minute demand. 



3. Stay visible beyond the first day 


If demand concentrates across several days, a single launch moment may not be enough. Travel businesses should consider how their inventory, offers, and content remain visible across the period, especially as different markets reach their strongest response at different times.

 

The right approach will vary by business and product. But the principle is consistent: do not assume that the first day of the sale is the only day that matters. The same applies to advertisers outside travel. Traveler attention builds across several days and markets, so staying visible throughout the window matters more than a single launch moment.


Enhance your visibility

Choosing the right visibility tool can be the difference between a missed opportunity and a repeat guest. Find out which one is right for you and when to use it.

 

Explore visibility tools


4. Prepare early, and inspire early


When more travelers book further ahead, readiness matters earlier too. Travel businesses should review availability, rate plans, content, and promotional participation before the demand window arrives — not only once the sale is underway.

 

Preparation also applies to discovery. Demand tends to soften in the weeks leading into the Black Friday to Travel Tuesday period, which makes the run-up a good window to build awareness. Destinations, tourism boards, and brands that inspire travelers before they’ve made their decisions are better placed to be in the consideration set once the sale begins.

 

Early preparation can also help travel businesses make better decisions about which products, destinations, and travel dates to feature. The goal is not simply to have an offer live. It is to make sure the right offer is visible to the right audience while they are planning.


5. Measure beyond booking volume


Booking volume remains important, and room nights are a clear sign of how a sale performed. But it is not the only signal of a successful Black Friday period. Travel businesses can also look at lead time, length of stay, and the markets generating demand.

 

These measures help answer a more useful question: did the sale create short-term activity, or did it help capture meaningful future travel demand?



How to plan around market-specific demand


First-party travel data can help businesses understand not just whether demand is present, but also how that demand is taking shape. It can reveal differences between markets, changes in planning behavior, and the moments when travelers are most likely to move from consideration to booking. 

 

Expedia Group is exploring how to make these kinds of demand signals more useful by helping travel businesses recognize when a market-specific demand window is emerging, understand the behavior around it, and plan activity accordingly.

 

The more precisely travel businesses can see patterns, the more thoughtfully they can prepare their inventory, content, and campaigns.



The opportunity is participation with precision


The best use of these insights is not to chase a single winning day. It is to build a plan that can flex. Keep the global message consistent, adapt timing by market, and make sure the inventory and content that travelers see are ready before interest peaks. 


What it means for you

For businesses, that means evaluating participation across the full promotional calendar rather than judging each sale in isolation. A global event can generate reach, but regional relevance is what helps turn attention into bookings. 

The same principle applies after the sale. Examining lead time, length of stay, and market response can reveal what kind of demand was captured — and where future opportunities may lie. 

 

Black Friday is not one day, one market, or one type of traveler behavior. It is a series of connected opportunities shaped by when and how people plan travel. Businesses that understand those differences can engage consumers at the right moment, make more informed decisions, and turn a major promotional event into lasting demand.  


A headshot of Richard Kocher

Richard Kocher

Senior Director, EGA Planning & Insights, Expedia Group

 

Richard is senior director of Expedia Group Advertising Planning & Insights. His team is responsible for mining Expedia Group’s exclusive first-party search and booking data and market insights to inform partners’ strategies, product selection, and audience targeting. Prior to overseeing the Planning & Insights team, Richard led Business Development and Account Management teams in display and sponsored listings across EMEA and APAC. He has postgraduate degrees in Anthropology from the University of Sussex and Business Administration from Warwick Business School – and lives with his family in Redmond, Washington.

 

Read more posts by Richard



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¹All data is based on Expedia Group first-party 2025 data across air and lodging unless indicated otherwise. The comparison window used was pre-sale 4–14 Nov 2025 vs. Black Friday week 24 Nov–3 Dec 2025.

²Non-US markets include all Expedia Group markets outside the US, combined

³Expedia Group internal data 2026; average results for properties that participated in Black Friday 2025 compared with properties that did not participate